As of last year, CalPRS has $525 billion in unfunded liabilities. But that was based on a return on equity of 7.75%. Instead the return was a NEGATIVE 4.8%–a difference of 12%.
That 12% will be added to the unfunded liabilities—$11 billion more of unfunded liabilities.
“The fund’s value declined to $226.1 billion as of June 8, down from $237.5 billion at the start of its fiscal year July 1. As recently as March 31, the fund was up 1.9 percent for the first nine months. Since May 1, the Standard & Poor’s 500 (SPX) index of stocks declined 5.8 percent. Half of Calpers’s money is invested in equities.”
California is in a Depression. At a minimum the new deficit is $61 billion or as much as $75 billion. Totally unsustainable—as is the government pension systems. The State will have a fiscal collapse the first quarter of 2013. The pension systems are not far behind.
Why isn’t this a front page story in the Times, Bee or Chron? A 12% loss is gigantic, but not enough to make the back pages of mainstream media.
By Michael B. Marois, Bloomberg, 6/11/12
The California Public Employees’ Retirement System, the largest U.S. pension, has seen its market value decline 4.8 percent this year after stocks fell amid the brewing fiscal crisis in Europe and slowing of the U.S. economic recovery.
The fund’s value declined to $226.1 billion as of June 8, down from $237.5 billion at the start of its fiscal year July 1. As recently as March 31, the fund was up 1.9 percent for the first nine months. Since May 1, the Standard & Poor’s 500 (SPX) index of stocks declined 5.8 percent. Half of Calpers’s money is invested in equities.
California Public Employees’ Retirement System Chief Executive Officer Anne Stausboll said, “It’s important to recognize that Calpers is a long-term investor and over the years we have achieved the returns needed to fund benefits.” Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg
“The markets have been tough for us in May and June,” Joe Dear, the fund’s chief investment officer, told the governing board today. “These are very difficult market conditions.”
If the trend continues, it would mark the third time in five years that the fund has lost money, including a 23 percent decline in fiscal 2009, the worst on record. While Calpers spreads its return over 15 years to smooth taxpayers’ burden, another loss may make it hard for the fund to meet its assumption of 7.5 percent earnings annually to cover benefits to 1.6 million retired employees and their families.
For the 10 years ending Feb. 29, the fund is up 5.9 percent. It earned 20.7 percent last year, the best result in 14 years, led by stocks and private equity. The previous year, it rose 11.6 percent.
California’s state pensions in 2010 had about 81 percent of what they needed to cover the benefits they promised, down from 87 percent in the preceding year, according to an annual study by Bloomberg Rankings. The median for all states was 75 percent, the data show.
The fund’s governing board in March lowered its assumed rate of return to 7.5 percent from 7.75 percent. The rate is used to calculate how much money the plan will need to cover promised benefits, and what employers must contribute. While the fund’s actuary recommended lowering the rate to 7.25 percent, the Calpers board said that would burden local governments when they were already facing financial strains.
“The financial markets are challenging for all investors,” the fund’s chief executive officer, Anne Stausboll, said in a statement. “It’s important to recognize that Calpers is a long-term investor and over the years we have achieved the returns needed to fund benefits.”